About the areaBuyer TipsInvestmentReal EstateSeller Tips February 17, 2017

Friday Fun Facts!

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Stadium Impact?

Today we are looking at one of the hot topics in Northern Colorado. Is the new CSU football stadium impacting real estate values in the surrounding neighborhoods?

The answer, based on the research we’ve done so far, is… yes!

Here are the details…

We looked at the residential properties in the 1-mile radius surrounding the new stadium. We pulled the sales over the last three years in that area. Then we compared that area to the market as a whole.

Let’s talk about prices first. Residential prices inside the City Limits of Fort Collins went up 11% last year and 12% the year before that. Within the stadium’s 1-mile radius, prices only went up 1% last year, but 14% the year before that. It seems that recent construction has impacted prices.

Now what about number of sales? Residential transactions have gone down 5% per year each of the last two years. Near the stadium, the decrease has been even larger at 7 to 8% per year.

It does seem that the stadium has had an impact. We will continue to keep our eye on this trend!

One footnote is that last year had more condominium sales than the year before which has an impact on average price.

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To receive a copy of our entire Market Forecast presentation full of interesting facts and incredible takeaways about our market, email me at phunter@windermere.com and I will send you copy right away.

Welcome to Friday Fun Facts!

Thanks for checking out this week’s Friday Fun Facts!

These little nuggets of information are designed to inform, education and entertain you. I promise to give you some solid takeaways, based on real life with information that will keep you up-to-date.

You can expect an entertaining short video or article once a week.. If you really like it, share it with your friends!

About the areaBuyer TipsInvestmentReal EstateSeller Tips February 13, 2017

The First Gardner Report!

Happy Monday everyone! We now have a GREAT resource at our disposal at Windermere. Our Chief Economist Matthew Gardner will be releasing the Garner Report each quarter that gives pertinent information about the Northern Colorado and Denver markets. See below to check it out, and if you would like to have a hard copy mailed to you, please let me know!

 

The Gardner Report  | CO Q4 2016

The following analysis of the Metro Denver & Northern Colorado real estate markets is provided by Windermere Real Estate Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. We hope that this information may assist you with making better-informed real estate decisions. For further information about the housing market in your area, please don’t hesitate to contact me.

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW


Annual employment growth in Colorado was measured at a respectable 2.2% in November and will likely finish the year having created around 55,000 new jobs. Within the metropolitan market areas included in this report, we are seeing employment growth at or above the state level and I anticipate that this will continue to be the case in 2017.

Unemployment rates continue to drop, and with rates now below three percent, all of Colorado’s metro areas are at full employment. Because of this robust level of growth—in concert with very low unemployment levels—I anticipate that we will see some fairly substantial income growth as companies look to recruit new talent and keep existing employees happy.

HOME SALES ACTIVITY


  • There were 14,614 home sales during the fourth quarter of 2016—up by a marginal 0.7% from the same period in 2015.
  • Jefferson County saw sales grow at the fastest rate over the past 12 months, with a 5.9% increase. Sales activity fell in three counties, but this was a function of short supply rather than slowing demand.
  • Listing activity continues to remain well below historic averages, with the total number of homes for sale in the fourth quarter 12.8% below that seen a year ago.
  • The key takeaway from this data is that 2017 is shaping up to be one which will still substantially favor home sellers. I do anticipate that we will see some improvement in listing activity, but it is almost a certainty that demand will exceed supply for another year.
Annual Change in Home Sales

HOME PRICES


  • Demand continued to exceed supply in the final three months of 2016 and this caused home prices to continue to rise. In the fourth quarter, average prices rose by 9% when compared to the fourth quarter of 2015. The average sales price across the region is now $393,969.
  • In many parts of the region, prices are well above historic highs and continue to trend upward. With double-digit price increases over the past year, the market remains very hot.
  • Annual price growth was strongest in Larimer and Jefferson Counties, where prices rose by 11.8% and 10.9% respectively.
  • While we will likely see some modest softening in home price growth in 2017, we can still expect a very strong market.
Colorado Home Sales Heat Map
Annual Change in Home Sale Prices

DAYS ON MARKET


  • The average number of days it took to sell a home dropped by one day when compared to the fourth quarter of 2015.
  • Homes in a majority of the counties took less than a month to sell.
  • In the final quarter of the year, it took an average of just 27 days to sell a home. This is down from the 28 days it took in the fourth quarter of 2015.
  • The Northern Colorado housing market is still firing on all cylinders. The only missing piece is listings, which remain well below the historic average.
Average Days on Market

CONCLUSIONS


This speedometer reflects the state of the region’s housing market using housing inventory, price gains, sales velocities, interest rates, and larger economic factors.

For the fourth quarter of 2016, the needle remains firmly in the seller’s territory. It will be interesting to see if the recent increase in mortgage rates has any effect at all on the housing market. I believe that it will; however, I expect that it will likely cause a slowdown in home price growth rather than any collapse in home prices.

ABOUT MATTHEW GARDNER


Matthew Gardner is the Chief Economist for Windermere Real Estate, specializing in residential market analysis, commercial/industrial market analysis, financial analysis, and land use and regional economics. He is the former Principal of Gardner Economics, and has over 25 years of professional experience both in the U.S. and U.K.
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About the areaBuyer TipsInvestmentReal EstateSeller Tips January 25, 2017

4th Quarter Edition Of The Scoop!

For great info on the Northern Colorado Real Estate Market click below!

4th Quarter The Scoop

About the areaBuyer TipsInvestmentReal EstateSeller Tips January 23, 2017

What’s Happening In The 2017 Real Estate Market?

I want to thank everyone who came out to the Windermere Forecast last week, it was great to see so many people there interested in the real estate market and where we are headed in the future. I wanted to make sure that even if you did not make it, you are familiar with some of the big takeaways from the presentation.

The big story of course is the ongoing low inventory in Northern Colorado. We are at a quarter of where we were back just 6 years ago in 2011, just check out the graph below. This will continue to drive a fast moving market through 2017, although potentially not at the same pace we saw in 2016. That cooling off will be a product of increasing interest rates as the year progresses. While it is certainly great to be a seller in this market, there are still great ways for buyers to get more home than they could have afforded in the past because of where interest rates are currently.

What that low inventory has driven is an above average appreciation rate for the Fort Collins/Loveland areas (as well as the rest of Northern Colorado). As you can see below, we are above the long term 5% appreciation average, so again that will probably slow down just a little bit in to 2017, although we will still be appreciating!

One of the other big questions I get is from my investors, and that is “why should I buy an investment property with these increased prices?”. The answer lies in two things. The first is low interest rates, and the second is with massively increased rents. Even when a 3 bedroom 2 bath home near the CSU campus was $100,000 less than it was today, we are STILL cash flowing about 60% more than we were back when prices were lower. As you can see below, we have seen an increase in rents, along with a decrease in vacancy (especially if you look at a longer 10 year term).

If you have any questions about this info, or want to talk more about buying, selling, or investing in real estate, I’d love to take you to coffee to discuss it! 

About the areaBuyer TipsReal EstateSeller TipsThings to Do January 15, 2017

Inventory! Inventory! Inventory!

The three most important parts of real estate may be location, location, location; but I would argue right now they are inventory, inventory, inventory! In Fort Collins we were still at only 215 homes active and on the market this month. In a town of over 150,000 people that definitely is NOT enough. We have 1.27 months of inventory available, which is WELL below the 6 months that the National Association of REALTORS describes as a balanced market.

There is good news for both buyers and sellers though. On the seller side, even with a slowdown in the higher end of the market, we have seen really great results in our Windermere Certified Listing process as well as our high end Premier Program. Many sellers are deciding to capitalize on their increase equity in their homes and sell in a seller’s market (below $400,000) and buy in a buyer’s market (over $500,000).

The good news for buyers is that even with the small bump in interest rates we have seen in the last couple months, the rates are still so low that buyers can afford more than they have before! Call me if you want to talk about the ways we can definitely still find you a home in this low inventory market.

If you have any questions about buying or selling a home in Northern Colorado, please give me a call and I’d be happy to take you to coffee to show you more stats and help you with your decision.  Also, if you would like detailed information about what is going to be happening in the 2017 real estate market, come to our Windermere Market Forecast next Thursday the 19th at 5:30pm at the Fort Collins Marriott. We will have our chief economist fly out from Seattle to give us a rundown on the National, State, and Local markets. I hope you can make it!

About the areaBuyer TipsInvestmentReal EstateSeller TipsThings to Do January 9, 2017

2017 Windermere Forecast

Give me a call or shoot me an email if you can make it, would love to have you there!

 

Email Signature Invite-Fort Collins

About the areaBuyer TipsInvestmentReal Estate January 2, 2017

For Sale By Owner-Don’t Shy Away From These Properties!

Interested in a property you drove by that has a For Sale By Owner sign in the front yard? I can still help you! Give me a call to find out how!

Real Estate December 11, 2016

Colorado Association of REALTORS Position!

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I’m happy to announce that I am taking my involvement in the REALTOR organization to the state level! I was elected as the Northeast District Chairman for the Colorado Association of REALTORS, and my term has just begun. In this volunteer position, I will be the avenue of communication between the local boards in my District, and the State Association of REALTORS.

I really look forward to advancing the professionalism of REALTORS and the REALTOR brand, and I am certain that this position will give me even more insight for me to bring back to you all, the most important part of my business, my real estate clients!

If you or anyone you know are in need of buying or selling a home, please feel free to give me a call today and I’ll take you to lunch to talk about it!

About the areaBuyer TipsReal EstateSeller Tips November 28, 2016

What To Expect In Housing Affordability

Check out Windermere’s Economist Matthew Gardner and listen to his take on where we are going with Housing Affordability.

About the areaNeighborhood ProfileReal EstateThings to Do October 10, 2016

Thank YOU!

I want to thank all of my clients for making the tailgate party last week such a success! We had over 150 people, and we got to enjoy Tacos, drinks, and the Coyote Gold trailer even showed up to serve margaritas. It was a lot of fun to see everyone!

Great food with friends!

Great food with friends!

Eric Thompson in a mini trike race!

Eric Thompson in a mini trike race!

On a similar note, I got to attend our new Cherry Creek Windermere offices’ Grand Opening Party, and it was so cool to see how we are growing even more in the Denver area and will be able to serve even more of our clients in that area. If you or anyone you know needs real estate help in Denver, give me a call and I can put you in touch with amazing agents in that region.

Thank you again and have a great week!