Friday Fun Facts

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Is There A Bubble?

Economists say there are three reasons why we aren’t in a housing bubble today.

The first reason they mention is the amount of new home construction compared to the 2006 housing bubble.

Today, along the Front Range, new home starts are down 38% compared to 2006. This is despite a much higher population than 12 years ago.

A major factor that caused the bubble was the glut of new construction inventory which doesn’t exist today.

Metrostudy, a leading new home research firm, says that Front Range builders need to have built 30,000 more new homes over the last 5 years to keep up with demand.

To see the whole story about our market along with other stats and trends, watch the recording of Tuesday’s Windermere Workshop right here.

If you want to be totally clear on all the stats, facts and trends in Colorado real estate so that you know what the future value of your home looks like, watch this video.

This is a complimentary service for our clients and friends.

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See all the latest facts, stats and trends of the Colorado market from the comfort of your own laptop.

Watch the Windermere Workshop video for a mid-year market update.

Posted on July 20, 2018 at 3:03 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Homes for Sale, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , ,

Friday Fun Facts! I-25 Edition

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Relief on The Way!

There is good news and bad news.

The good news is I-25 traffic relief is on the way. The bad news is we will have to live through three summers of construction before it’s done.

Did you know the 26 miles between Highway 14 in Fort Collins and Highway 66 in Longmont Interstate 25 serves more than 45,000 cars per day? Wow!

Part of that stretch of interstate will get a third lane starting this summer. Construction is set to begin next month that will add a third lane between Highway 14 and Highway 402.

The project is happening 14 years ahead of schedule thanks to additional funding from several sources including the Cities of Fort Collins and Loveland. The first step we will notice is construction on the I 25/Highway 34 intersection.

This is great news for our region that will bring much needed relief. We will all just need to be a little patient while the work is being done.

Grab a copy of my Investment Kit so you can see the simple steps to get started without stress or complication. Email me at phunter@windermere.comand I will send you a video which clarifies the process and my Investment Checklist so you can see what to do first.

Posted on May 18, 2018 at 1:03 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , ,

The New Gardner Report

 

The following analysis of the Metro Denver & Northern Colorado real estate market is provided by Windermere Real Estate Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. We hope that this information may assist you with making better-informed real estate decisions. For further information about the housing market in your area, please don’t hesitate to contact me.

 

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

It’s good news for the state of Colorado, which saw annual employment grow in all of the metropolitan markets included in this report. The state added 63,400 non-agricultural jobs over the past 12 months, an impressive growth rate of 2.4%. Colorado has been adding an average of 5,300 new jobs per month for the past year, and I anticipate that this growth rate will continue through the balance of 2018.

In February, the unemployment rate in Colorado was 3.0%—a level that has held steady for the past six months. Unemployment has dropped in all the markets contained in this report, with the lowest reported rates in Fort Collins and Denver, where 3.1% of the labor force was actively looking for work. The highest unemployment rate was in Grand Junction, which came in at 4.6%.

 

HOME SALES ACTIVITY

  • In the first quarter of 2018, there were 11,173 home sales—a drop of 5.6% when compared to the first quarter of 2017.
  • With an increase of 5.3%, home sales rose the fastest in Boulder County, as compared to first quarter of last year. There was also a modest sales increase of 1.2% in Larimer County. Sales fell in all the other counties contained within this report.
  • Home sales continue to slow due to low inventory levels, which were down 5.7% compared to a year ago.
  • The takeaway here is that sales growth continues to stagnate due to the lack of homes for sale.

 

 

HOME PRICES

  • Strong economic growth, combined with limited inventory, continued to push prices higher. The average home price in the markets covered by this report was up by 11.7% year-over-year to $448,687.
  • Arapahoe County saw slower appreciation in home values, but the trend is still positiveand above its long-term average.
  • Appreciation was strongest in Boulder County, which saw prices rise 14.8%. Almost all other counties in this report experienced solid gains.
  • The ongoing imbalance between supply and demand persists and home prices continue to appreciate at above-average rates.

 

 

DAYS ON MARKET

  • The average number of days it took to sell a home dropped by three days when compared to the first quarter of 2017.
  • Homes in all but two counties contained in this report took less than a month to sell. Adams County continues to stand out where it took an average of just 17 days to sell a home.
  • During the first quarter, it took an average of 27 days to sell a home. That rate is down 2 days from the fourth quarter of 2017.
  • Housing demand remains strong and would-be buyers should expect to see stiff competition for well-positioned, well-priced homes.

 

 

CONCLUSIONS

This speedometer reflects the state of the region’s housing market using housing inventory, price gains, home sales, interest rates, and larger economic factors. In the first quarter of 2018, I have left the needle where it was in the fourth quarter of last year. Even as interest rates trend higher, it appears as if demand will continue to outweigh supply. As we head into the spring months, I had hoped to see an increase in the number of homes for sale, but so far that has not happened. As a result, the housing market continues to heavily favor sellers.

 

 

 

Matthew Gardner is the Chief Economist for Windermere Real Estate, specializing in residential market analysis, commercial/industrial market analysis, financial analysis, and land use and regional economics. He is the former Principal of Gardner Economics, and has more than 30 years of professional experience both in the U.S. and U.K.

Posted on May 7, 2018 at 5:19 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , ,

Friday Fun Facts!

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18 Days

We now measure inventory levels in terms of days. Typically we measure in months. For instance, a “balanced market” is when there is 4 to 6 months of inventory currently for sale. Meaning that, in a balanced market, it would take 4 to 6 months to sell every home that is currently on the market.

Anything less than 4 months is a seller’s market. Certainly, when we measure in days, we are in an extreme seller’s market.

Today the Greeley market has 18 days of inventory, Fort Collins has 27 days, Loveland has 30, and Windsor has 51.

These are all lower than a year ago. For example, Greeley at this time last year had 27 days of inventory.

But this statistic can be misleading. Sometimes people assume that the extreme seller’s market applies to all price ranges and all locations.

Not true. When we drill down we find sub-patterns that are revealing. For example, homes in Loveland priced over $500,000 have 3 months of inventory and homes in Fort Collins over $750,000 have 5 months.

Because inventory levels tend to increase as prices increase, there becomes a distinct advantage for the move up buyer. Today, many people can sell in an extreme seller’s market and move up to a price range with less competition and more selection.

If our active market has you thinking about investing in real estate in Northern Colorado. Check this out…

Grab a copy of our Investment Kit so you can see the simple steps to get started without stress or complication. Email me at phunter@windermere.comand I will send you a video which clarifies the process and our Investment Checklist so you can see what to do first.

Get our Investment Kit…

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Welcome to Friday Fun Facts!

Posted on April 13, 2018 at 1:24 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , ,

Greeley Is Growing!

 

In case you had not noticed, there is a lot of growth in Northern Colorado! We are seeing population growth without nearly the amount of building as we did pre-recession (we are still at only about 60% of the new home starts as compared to before the recession, even though it can look like they are building everywhere). That is currently driving the appreciation and rental rates in Greeley to an even higher extent than Fort Collins, Loveland, and Windsor. Check out this article below that talks in more detail about how Greeley is ranked third in the nation for growth.

LINK TO BIZ WEST ARTICLE

Any more questions about Greeley? Give me a ring!

Posted on March 26, 2018 at 1:22 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Real Estate, Seller Tips | Tagged , , , , , ,

Friday Fun Facts!

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Top 4/Bottom 4

At the end of this weekend College Basketball’s Final 4 will be established. It might make you wonder, what the top 4 and bottom 4 real estate markets across the country?

Here they are, ranked by the last 12 months of appreciation according to fhfa.gov:

Top 4:

  1. Tacoma, WA 14.6%
  2. Seattle, WA 14.3%
  3. Port St. Lucie, FL 13.7%
  4. Las Vegas, NV 13.6%

Bottom 4:

  1. Atlantic, NJ -3.14%
  2. Peoria, IL -3.0%
  3. Huntington, WV -2.6%
  4. Jackson, MS -1.2%

Welcome to Friday Fun Facts!

Thanks for checking out this week’s Friday Fun Facts!

These little nuggets of information are designed to inform, education and entertain you. I promise to give you some solid takeaways, based on real life with information that will keep you up-to-date. CONTACT ME FOR MORE MARKET INFO

Posted on March 23, 2018 at 1:31 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Homes for Sale, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , ,

Windermere Report Monthly Highlights

This month’s Windermere Report should be arriving in your mailbox soon (if you are not already signed up to get this from me, CLICK HERE and tell me that you would like to know how the real estate market is doing each month), and I wanted to share some quick highlights.

  • 48% of homes in the Fort Collins/Loveland areas are considered “affordable” to the median wage earner
  • We will see 50-80% more listings hit the market March-June (yay!)
  • Those homes will sell 30-50% more quickly 
  • We are getting BACK TO NORMAL for homeownership rates, rising back up towards a 65% rate

If these are interesting to you, I can keep you informed each month. Just DROP ME A LINE. Have a great week!

Posted on March 12, 2018 at 1:42 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , ,

Friday Fun Facts! 10,000 Short

Northern Colorado isn’t the only place with limited inventory.

Metro Denver is short by 10,000 listings.

The average number of homes for sale for this time of year in the Denver area, going all the way back to 1985, is 14,309.

Right now there are 4,084 residential properties on the market. This is a difference of 10,225 listings compared to the long-term average.

The peak was 2008 when there were 25,037 listings. The lowest year was last year with 3,878 (a drop of 21,159 in 9 years?!).

The good news for buyers is that inventory is up 5% compared to last year. Another piece of good news is that the Spring tends to produce the highest amount of inventory for buyers to pick from.

Posted on March 9, 2018 at 7:21 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , ,

The Scoop! Is Here

Check out this quarter’s edition of The Scoop! Our Northern Colorado Market report!

THE SCOOP!

Posted on February 19, 2018 at 4:59 am
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , ,

The Gardner Report

Every quarter Windermere’s Economist Matthew Gardner puts out the Gardner Report. Check out the lates installment of this report for Northern Colorado below!

 

Gardner Report Q4

Posted on February 6, 2018 at 3:15 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , ,