Health Crisis not Housing Crisis

Here is the latest video from our Chief Economist Matthew Gardner.

It’s full of great nuggets about what is happening in the economy and the real estate market today.  Just Click the image below to play the video.

Posted on April 3, 2020 at 3:08 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: Buyer Tips, Friday Fun Facts, Homes for Sale, Seller Tips, Uncategorized | Tagged , , ,

Leading Indicator

We are watching close to see where the real estate market is headed. Anecdotally we can tell you that the vast majority of transactions that are under contract are still closing. We have seen very few transactions cancel because of employment issues or the wild swings of the stock market.

An interesting leading indicator was announced this week that sheds some light as to where the market is headed. Each week the Mortgage Bankers Association releases their index which tracks new mortgage applications.

They track both purchase applications and refinance applications. To no one’s surprise, the index was down this week but not as much as you may have guessed.

New purchase applications were down 11% compared to the same week this last year. Refinance activity fell more sharply, down 34%.

This is a statistic we will watch closely as time goes on.

Each week our Chief Economist produces a video with the latest on the national economy and the housing market. Reach out to us if you would like to see that video.

Posted on March 27, 2020 at 2:30 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: Buyer Tips, Friday Fun Facts, Homes for Sale, Real Estate, Seller Tips | Tagged , , , , ,

Economist’s Perspective

Our Chief Economist made a video for all of our clients where he shares his perspective on COVID-19’s impact on

housing.  You can watch it by clicking the image below:

 

 

Posted on March 20, 2020 at 2:47 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: Buyer Tips, Friday Fun Facts, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , ,

A History Lesson

With the stock market on a wild ride and the Dow Jones dropping nearly 1,000 points yesterday, it makes some people wonder if the local real estate market might also crash or at least “correct.”

A little history lesson is in order.

Over the last 40 years, the real estate market along the Front Range has averaged 5.5% appreciation per year.

The highest appreciation in one year was 15.9% in 1994.

The lowest ever was -4.0% in 1982.

The last time Wall Street was in turmoil and the stock market was plummeting was 2008.  This was, for many reasons, the worst economy of our lifetime.

That year real estate along the Front Range dropped 2.2%.

Meanwhile that year the Dow Jones fell 33.8%.

Bottom line, our market has no history of crashing or even experiencing a major correction.

Why is that?

The answer is fundamentals.

Our local economy has inherent fundamentals that insulate it from big downturns.

We have an incredibly diverse economy which is not reliant upon a single industry.  We have all the way from health care, to technology, agriculture, oil and gas, major universities, and financial services (just to name a few).

We are a global destination with a major international airport.

Oh, and the quality of life here isn’t too shabby.

Prices of real estate, just like prices of anything, come down to basic economic principles of supply and demand.

Because of our diverse economy and desirable quality of life, there has been strong, consistent demand for housing along the Front Range.

While there may be little bumps along the way, over the long term our market has proven that it performs.

 

Posted on March 6, 2020 at 1:49 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: Buyer Tips, Friday Fun Facts, Homes for Sale, Investment, Real Estate, Seller Tips | Tagged , , ,

Supply and Demand

Northern Colorado gave us a real-life economics lesson in January 2020.

Compared to one year ago…

  • Inventory was down 10% (Supply)
  • Homes under contract went up 31% (Demand)
  • Prices were up 5% (Result)
Posted on February 7, 2020 at 3:29 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: Friday Fun Facts | Tagged , , , ,

Ranch Style Home near Horseshoe Lake!

This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom at 4381 Suncreek Dr offers a ranch floor plan with a large backyard has new carpet, a spacious basement, and lots of light which makes this home a delight to live in! 2 car garage, and easy access to 287 make this centrally located home convenient no matter where you need to get in Northern Colorado. Check out this fantastic property today! Call for your private showing at 970-673-7285 for more information or click the link below for more details.

http://windermerenoco.com/listing/82726402

Posted on August 17, 2018 at 7:28 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: Loveland Real Estate, Virtual Tours | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,

The New Gardner Report Is Out!

The Gardner Report  | Metro Denver and Northern Colorado Q3 2017

The following analysis of the Metro Denver and Northern Colorado real estate market is provided by Windermere Real Estate Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. We hope that this information may assist you with making better-informed real estate decisions. For further information about the housing market in your area, please don’t hesitate to contact me.

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW


Colorado added 45,800 non-agricultural jobs over the past 12 months, a growth rate of 1.8%. Within the metropolitan market areas included in this report, annual employment growth was seen in all areas other than Grand Junction (where employment was stable) with substantial growth seen in Fort Collins (4.6%) and Greeley (3.5%).

In August, the unemployment rate in the state was 2.2%, down from 3.1% a year ago. The lowest reported unemployment rates were again seen in Fort Collins at just 1.8%. The highest rate was in Grand Junction, at a very respectable 3.0%. It is still reasonable to assume that all the markets contained within this report will see above-average wage growth given the very tight labor market.

HOME SALES ACTIVITY


  • There were 17,140 home sales during the third quarter of 2017, which was a drop of 3.3% from the same period in 2016.
  • Sales rose the fastest in Boulder County, which saw sales grow 4% more than the third quarter of 2016. There were marginal increases in Weld and Larimer Counties. Sales fell in all the other counties contained within this report.
  • Home sales slowed due to very low levels of available inventory. Listing activity continues to trend at well below historic averages, with the total number of homes for sale in the third quarter 5.5% below the level seen a year ago.
  • The takeaway here is that sales growth has stalled due to the lack of homes for sale.
Annual Change in Home Sales

HOME PRICES


  • With substantial competition for the few available homes, prices continue to rise. Average prices were up 7.5% year-over-year to a regional average of $428,602.
  • Slower appreciation in home values was again seen in Boulder County, but the trend is still positive.
  • Appreciation was strongest in Weld County, which saw prices rise 12%.
  • Due to an ongoing imbalance between supply and demand, home prices will continue to appreciate at above-average rates for the foreseeable future.
Metro Denver and Northern Colorado Heat Map
Annual Change in Home Sale Prices

DAYS ON MARKET


  • The average number of days it took to sell a home dropped by one day when compared to the third quarter of 2016.
  • Homes in all counties contained in this report took less than a month to sell. Adams County continues to stand out as it took an average of just two weeks to sell a home there.
  • During the third quarter, it took an average of 20 days to sell a home. This is up by 3 days compared to the second quarter of this year.
  • Demand remains strong, and well-positioned, well-priced homes continue to sell very quickly.
Average Days on Market

CONCLUSIONS


This speedometer reflects the state of the region’s housing market using housing inventory, price gains, home sales, interest rates, and larger economic factors.

In the third quarter of 2017, I have chosen to leave the needle where it was in the second quarter. Homes are still scarce; however, there is a small slowdown in price growth and a decline in both closed and pending sales. This may suggest the market is either getting weary of all the competition or that would-be buyers are possibly putting off buying until they see more choices in the number of homes for sale.

ABOUT MATTHEW GARDNER


Matthew Gardner is the Chief Economist for Windermere Real Estate, specializing in residential market analysis, commercial/industrial market analysis, financial analysis, and land use and regional economics. He is the former Principal of Gardner Economics, and has more than 30 years of professional experience both in the U.S. and U.K.
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Posted on November 5, 2017 at 10:04 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , ,

Should I Wait To Buy?

With interest rates on the uptick and appreciation going in a positive direction in Northern Colorado, should you wait to buy a home? I think you know the answer, but check out the video we put together below to see why you shouldn’t!

Posted on May 31, 2017 at 12:18 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Real Estate, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , ,

Another Big Out Of State Investor Purchase in Fort Collins

The interest in the Fort Collins apartment market is heating up even more! With the latest sale of The Mill House in Old Town Fort Collins to an investor out of New Jersey for $13.6 million, that equates out to $251,852 per unit according to the Colorado Real Estate Journal. This used to be a much less attractive side of Old Town, but we are seeing more and more development and re-development in the area. The increasing rents, especially in the realm of urban living has made it even more attractive for these investors.

The good news, is single family and smaller multiunit investments (like duplexes, triplexes, and fourplexes) are all seeing rental increases as well. The cash flow and yield numbers are working great on those as well even with the increase in pricing we have seen.

If you have any questions about this information, please feel free to give me a call to talk investment properties!

Posted on March 13, 2017 at 9:03 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Investment, Real Estate, Seller Tips | Tagged , , , , , , ,

Friday Fun Facts

image

Limited Choices

Pretend that customer walks into our office and tells us they are looking for a single family home in Fort Collins. We would tell them that there are 314 to choose from. But if they told us their price range is up to $300,000, their choices would be limited to just 10 homes.

Single family homes priced under $300,000 only represent 3.18% of the total inventory in Fort Collins. This is a big reason why buyers are opening up their search to communities that surround Fort Collins.

Here’s a snapshot of the major Northern Colorado markets:

  • Loveland: 176 Homes For Sale/15 Priced Under $300,000
  • Windsor: 151 Homes For Sale/6 Priced Under $300,000
  • Greeley: 98 Homes For Sale/33 Priced Under $300,000
  • Fort Collins: 314 Homes For Sale/10 Priced Under $300,000

What’s important to know is today’s market dynamics create an ideal scenario for the move up buyer to use the equity in their home, leverage the low interest rates, and buy the home of their dreams.

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To receive a copy of our entire Market Forecast presentation full of interesting facts and incredible takeaways about our market, email me at phunter@windermere.com and I will send you copy right away.

Welcome to Friday Fun Facts!

Thanks for checking out this week’s Friday Fun Facts!

These little nuggets of information are designed to inform, education and entertain you. I promise to give you some solid takeaways, based on real life with information that will keep you up-to-date.

Posted on February 3, 2017 at 9:28 pm
Paul Hunter | Category: About the area, Buyer Tips, Investment, Real Estate, Seller Tips | Tagged , , ,