Home Price Increases – What Will It Cost?

Check out the picture below to see how home prices are increasing by region, this comes from www.keepingcurrentmatters.com and the direct link is HERE. Let me know what you think!


Posted on December 18, 2017 at 2:32 pm
Paul Hunter | Posted in About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , ,

Friday Fun Facts!

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Rate Recap

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.25% this week. It was their 3rd rate increase this year.

This has us thinking about mortgage rates.

Today, 30-year mortgage rates are 3.93%.

Let’s put this in context with a little history lesson. Mortgage rates were…

  • 3.90% 6 months ago
  • 4.13% 1 year ago
  • 3.54% 18 months ago
  • 3.32% 5 years ago
  • 5.96% 10 years ago
  • 7.15% 20 years ago

So where are rates headed? Given that the Federal Reserve is expected to raise their rate three to four more times in 2018, we expect mortgage rates to be higher one year from today.

The Mortgage Bankers Association predicts rates to be 4.8% in the 4th quarter of next year. Freddie Mac’s prediction is 4.4%. If these predictions are true, that would mean mortgage rates would be back to where there were 6 to 7 years ago.

To hear our predictions for the 2018 market, join our live Market Forecast event on January 18th at the Marriott in Fort Collins. Back by popular demand is Windermere’s Cheif Economist Matthew Gardner who will give you valuable and interesting insights into the real estate market. Reserve your spot at www.windermereforecast.com


Posted on December 15, 2017 at 3:17 pm
Paul Hunter | Posted in About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , ,

Get Real

A story ran last week which highlighted the number of people who have moved out of Colorado.

Let’s get real, there are still a large number of people moving to Colorado.

In fact, 223,000 moved to Colorado from another state last year according to the latest American Community Survey from the U.S. Census Bureau.

The net migration into our state (after subtracting out people who left) was 30,859 people.

In Northern Colorado the net migration looks like this:

  • Larimer County = 7,001 people
  • Weld County = 7,117 people

So what does that mean for housing? Knowing that, on average, 2.5 people live in each household, the number of new housing units required for these new residents looks like this:

  • Larimer County = 2,800 new housing units
  • Weld County = 2,847 new housing units

Any questions about this information, give me a call!


Posted on December 11, 2017 at 2:15 pm
Paul Hunter | Posted in About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , ,

Being Thankful

Happy Monday everyone! Last week was all about what we are thankful for, and I just wanted to quickly share what I am thankful for in my life and share a few photos that show it.

I got to give away Thanksgiving pies to my clients on Tuesday, and it was so much fun to see all of you and get to do that. My clients are awesome!

I also got to visit family in Seattle over the holiday. Ashley and Jackson and I had a great time in what was pretty great weather for November in the Pacific Northwest!

I hope you all had just as great of a week as I did, take care and we’ll talk more real estate soon!


Posted on November 27, 2017 at 2:50 pm
Paul Hunter | Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged ,

Luxury Leaps

One of my favorite sources of data is the Fort Collins Board of Realtors monthly market report. Their newest release of information showed some interesting numbers on the luxury market and a confirmation of other statistics we are tracking.

The Luxury market is way up over last year.

In the greater Fort Collins area over the last 12 months, sales of single family homes priced between $1 million and $2 million, have leaped up 79% over last year. 24 total sales last year compared to 43 this year.

I included a screen shot from the report below…

I will take a deeper dive and closer look at the luxury market across all of Northern Colorado in our upcoming December Windermere Report (if you don’t already receive this monthly printed newsletter in your mailbox, let me know and I will add you to the list. Just contact me HERE.) 

Quarterly Market Report

Posted on November 20, 2017 at 2:13 pm
Paul Hunter | Posted in About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , ,

Immaculate 2-Story With Luxurious Features

Featuring 5 Bedrooms, 5 Bathrooms And Vaulted Ceilings!

Immaculate 5 bed / 5 bath home in Fossil Lake Ranch. Over 4,400 finished square feet. Enormous master retreat with exquisite finishes in the 5-piece bath. Main floor study, perfectly laid out kitchen with stainless steel appliances and granite counter tops. Hickory hardwood floors and plantation shutters. Freshly painted throughout. Vaulted ceilings and 2-story windows provide amazing light. Fully finished basement with bedroom and bath. Private backyard during summer and 3-car tandem garage. Near award winning neighborhood schools.

For more information, please visit: http://paulhunterrealestate.com/listing/71721518 or call Paul Hunter at (970) 460-3033.

 


Posted on November 17, 2017 at 5:24 pm
Paul Hunter | Posted in Fort Collins Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The New Gardner Report Is Out!

The Gardner Report  | Metro Denver and Northern Colorado Q3 2017

The following analysis of the Metro Denver and Northern Colorado real estate market is provided by Windermere Real Estate Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. We hope that this information may assist you with making better-informed real estate decisions. For further information about the housing market in your area, please don’t hesitate to contact me.

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW


Colorado added 45,800 non-agricultural jobs over the past 12 months, a growth rate of 1.8%. Within the metropolitan market areas included in this report, annual employment growth was seen in all areas other than Grand Junction (where employment was stable) with substantial growth seen in Fort Collins (4.6%) and Greeley (3.5%).

In August, the unemployment rate in the state was 2.2%, down from 3.1% a year ago. The lowest reported unemployment rates were again seen in Fort Collins at just 1.8%. The highest rate was in Grand Junction, at a very respectable 3.0%. It is still reasonable to assume that all the markets contained within this report will see above-average wage growth given the very tight labor market.

HOME SALES ACTIVITY


  • There were 17,140 home sales during the third quarter of 2017, which was a drop of 3.3% from the same period in 2016.
  • Sales rose the fastest in Boulder County, which saw sales grow 4% more than the third quarter of 2016. There were marginal increases in Weld and Larimer Counties. Sales fell in all the other counties contained within this report.
  • Home sales slowed due to very low levels of available inventory. Listing activity continues to trend at well below historic averages, with the total number of homes for sale in the third quarter 5.5% below the level seen a year ago.
  • The takeaway here is that sales growth has stalled due to the lack of homes for sale.
Annual Change in Home Sales

HOME PRICES


  • With substantial competition for the few available homes, prices continue to rise. Average prices were up 7.5% year-over-year to a regional average of $428,602.
  • Slower appreciation in home values was again seen in Boulder County, but the trend is still positive.
  • Appreciation was strongest in Weld County, which saw prices rise 12%.
  • Due to an ongoing imbalance between supply and demand, home prices will continue to appreciate at above-average rates for the foreseeable future.
Metro Denver and Northern Colorado Heat Map
Annual Change in Home Sale Prices

DAYS ON MARKET


  • The average number of days it took to sell a home dropped by one day when compared to the third quarter of 2016.
  • Homes in all counties contained in this report took less than a month to sell. Adams County continues to stand out as it took an average of just two weeks to sell a home there.
  • During the third quarter, it took an average of 20 days to sell a home. This is up by 3 days compared to the second quarter of this year.
  • Demand remains strong, and well-positioned, well-priced homes continue to sell very quickly.
Average Days on Market

CONCLUSIONS


This speedometer reflects the state of the region’s housing market using housing inventory, price gains, home sales, interest rates, and larger economic factors.

In the third quarter of 2017, I have chosen to leave the needle where it was in the second quarter. Homes are still scarce; however, there is a small slowdown in price growth and a decline in both closed and pending sales. This may suggest the market is either getting weary of all the competition or that would-be buyers are possibly putting off buying until they see more choices in the number of homes for sale.

ABOUT MATTHEW GARDNER


Matthew Gardner is the Chief Economist for Windermere Real Estate, specializing in residential market analysis, commercial/industrial market analysis, financial analysis, and land use and regional economics. He is the former Principal of Gardner Economics, and has more than 30 years of professional experience both in the U.S. and U.K.
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Posted on November 5, 2017 at 10:04 pm
Paul Hunter | Posted in About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , ,

Friday Fun Facts – Long vs Short

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Short vs. Long

There are short-term questions about real estate and there are long term questions about real estate.

Clients often have short-term questions like…

How much will prices go up next year? Should I sell my house this Fall or next Spring? Will interest rates go up next week?

We encourage our clients to evaluate those questions in the context of the long-term. There are decades of data on the Northern Colorado market which reveal certain patterns.

When we show our clients these patterns they feel confident and secure in the investment they have made into their home and their rental properties.

For example, the long-term appreciation rates based on up to 41 years of research are as follows:

  • Larimer County = 5.36%
  • Weld County = 4.25%
  • Metro Denver = 5.56%

So over the course of a year prices may go up a lot or go up a little, but in the long term they will stay true to these long term averages.

To see an update as to what is happening in the Northern Colorado market, contact me to receive our quarterly “Scoop” report.


Posted on October 27, 2017 at 1:42 pm
Paul Hunter | Posted in About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , ,

Friday Fun Facts!

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Inventory Is Up

For the past few years the hot topic in Northern Colorado real estate is inventory, or more specifically, lack of inventory.

Based on our current research, it looks like this trend is reversing.

Let’s look at the increase in inventory in our major markets versus a year ago…

  • Fort Collins up 28%
  • Loveland up 4%
  • Windsor up 37%
  • Greeley up 5%

This increase in is very good news for prospective buyers as now there are more homes to choose from.

To see an update as to what is happening in the Northern Colorado market, contact me to receive our quarterly “Scoop” report.


Posted on October 20, 2017 at 1:56 pm
Paul Hunter | Posted in About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Loveland Real Estate, Real Estate, Seller Tips, Wellington Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , ,

Homecoming Win!

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Homecoming

It was homecoming weekend at CSU which means that alums from all over the Country were back to visit Northern Colorado.

So how does their real estate market stack up versus the place where they went to college?

Odds are, it’s not as good!

It turns out that there are only 9 metropolitan areas out of about 270 that have higher appreciation than Larimer County.

Interestingly, 3 of the 9 are in Washington and 2 of the 9 are in Oregon. So if they are visiting from the Pacific Northwest they probably have an even stronger market than here.

But pretty much everywhere else is below our market.

This is all according to the Federal Housing Finance Authority who tracks the nation’s real estate markets. They show that Larimer County has appreciated 12.08% in the last year which ranks 9th in the nation.

First place belongs to Mount Vernon, Washington at 15.14%. Last place is Atlantic City, N.J. which had a decrease of 0.77%.

CSU’s comeback in their homecoming game was amazing, and cheers to a healthy real estate market!

 

 


Posted on October 16, 2017 at 2:07 am
Paul Hunter | Posted in About the area, Buyer Tips, Fort Collins Real Estate, Investment, Real Estate, Seller Tips | Tagged , , , , ,